When trade hurts: Consumption indivisibilities and labor market distortions

We present a simple model where complementarities between wages and demand due to factor market distortions can make a transition economy worse off from trade. Prior to trade, a virtuous circle prevails: high wages in industry support a high demand for indivisible industrial goods, which in turn supports high wages. However, factor market distortions in the transition economy create a comparative disadvantage in industry. Opening up to trade results in the import of indivisibles and a fall in manufacturing wages, breaking this virtuous circle. Consequently, trade liberalization without structural reform can have serious adverse effects in a transition economy.     

Specialization dynamics

This paper proposes a new empirical framework for analyzing specialization dynamics. A country’s pattern of specialization is viewed as a distribution across sectors, and statistical techniques for analyzing the evolution of this entire distribution are employed. The empirical framework is implemented using data on 20 industries in seven OECD countries since 1970. We find substantial mobility in patterns of specialization. Over time horizons of 5 years, this is largely explained by forces common across countries, including world prices and common changes in technical efficiency. Over longer time horizons, country-specific changes in factor endowments become more important. There is no evidence of an increase in countries’ overall degree of specialization.     

安全标准与农产品贸易:中国与主要贸易伙伴的实证研究

国际农产品贸易引起争端的安全标准的大量存在,表明市场自身力量不足以纠正失灵,农产品市场的独有特征构成安全标准广泛实施的理由。文章测算了十年间一项具体农产品安全标准—黄曲霉素最大允许含量标准,对一组发达国家和一组包括中国在内的亚洲发展中国家的水果/坚果类产品的贸易影响程度。政策模拟结果显示,进口国协调采用国际标准将产生更大的贸易促进效果。     

如何实现环境保护与贸易自由化的协调发展

从环境与贸易的相互影响可以看出,环境问题的根本原因在于环境成本未能内部化而非自由贸易的影响。所以要实现两者的协调发展,必须通过对环境资源的合理定价和产权界定实现环境外部性内部化;对于产权难以界定的环境资源,由政府制定适当的环境政策、标准加以解决;对于相当一部分全球性的或跨境转移的环境问题,则通过国际合作加以协调,处理好环境保护与自由贸易的关系,从而促进各国的可持续发展。     

提升我国服务业发展水平的跨位思考

提升我国服务业发展水平,分析我国服务业的发展现状。服务业的产值与吸收就业能力呈现明显增长趋势,但同国际发达国家服务业的发展情况相比,差距明显。研究表明,我国服务业具有向资本密集型、知识密集型现代服务业发展的趋势,并逐渐在经济活动中取得主导地位。     

新时期加速发展中俄大经贸的战略思考

进入 2 1世纪 ,中俄加强经贸合作不仅有利于中国经济实现可持续增长和俄经济的复苏 ,而且还可以进一步巩固和发展两国的政治关系。当前 ,为把中俄经贸合作水平推向新高潮 ,应采取一些新的思路和对策     

开放经济下的产业安全问题探析

本文认为,随着经济全球化进程的不断深化,开放经济、引进外资已经成为发展中国家促进本国经济发展的基本国策。但是如果不加限制地扩大外资的规模也会产生负面影响,即出现产业控制倾向,进而引发产业安全问题,这是事关国家经济安全的重大问题。对产业安全问题的研究,无论在现实经济运行还是在理论研究中,都具有非常重要的意义。随着国家经济结构的调整和产业升级的进程,产业安全的内涵和外延也将会有所拓展,金融安全、能源安全、网络安全、幼稚产业保护、经济结构、产业结构调整等都将成为产业安全研究所应关注的问题。     

应对分时度假信用危机的法律思考

文章在分析我国分时度假信用危机的阶段性特点的基础上，剖析了分时度假各方的法律关系和责任归属。文章还具体提出了解决分时度假信用危机的法律对策：确定分时度假购买合同为法定的附期限合同；由旅游行政管理部门对分时度假开发商资格进行限定和建立相应保证金及保险制度；杜绝虚假承诺行为的立法建议；合理分配签证风险等。     

战略性贸易政策理论研究最新进展

本文首先介绍了战略贸易政策理论的基本模型扩展研究,其次主要就2000年以后国外学者对于该理论及其模型在产业竞争优势、公司所有权构成、产业集中度、战略联盟、委托竞争、产业整合等方面的研究成果进行综述,最后对战略贸易政策理论的最新发展做了简要评述。     

Persistent protection in an international exit game

This paper examines the strategic behavior of two countries in a duopoly exit game with declining demand in the export market. We consider whether countries have a strategic rational to maintain, rather than unilaterally or jointly reduce, their subsidies. Conditions under which persistent subsidization is justified from a national perspective are derived. By maintaining subsidies one country can gain a strategic advantage by forcing its rival to exit earlier. An outcome where only one country applies the subsidy is not attainable. Free trade is less likely to occur close to the end of the game.